* According to Actuarial Today Magazine.
Buckle up your seat belts friends as we are about to embark on a magical mathematical thrill ride of of exponential vectors and irrational numbers. Prepare to have your minds Blown to 5 decimal places.
But first we need to have a musical interlude to properly set the stage. I can think of no better band to do so than the soothing sounds of Mettalica - perhaps their heartwarming rendition of "Enter the Sandman" performed with the Roots:
Well now, wasn't that nice?
"enter night, exit light..."
So onto the stats - some of you might remember this format from last year. I'm re-using it not just because it got rave reviews from you crazy stats obsessed kids ** but more so from the fact I'm really lazy...
** perhaps the term "rave reviews" is a bit of an overstatement..
Below is a comparison of the first two weeks of AHPC VII vs VI. There are some very interesting aspects to examine:
|Compared to Last Year|
|Participants w/ a Submission||47||41|
|Average per Submitter||164||156|
|Avg per Submission||87||65|
|Submitter % of Target Completed||16%||16%|
|Remaining Bouns Rounds||9,261||12,300|
|Non Submitters @ 50%||13,358||10,075|
|Projected Total Points||72,741||60,727|
|Cav / Art||69||34|
|Cav / Art||28||3|
|Cav / Art||11||106|
|Bonus Round "Bonus Points"||0%||0%|
Things that make you hmmmm:
With just two weeks in the books we amassed a total of 7,711 points vs last years 6,392. One would expect a slightly higher point total given the number of participants has increased by 12. What surprised me is that while the participation rate (individuals submitting at least one submission) is the same, the average size of a submission has grown from 65 points to 87 - perhaps paint bombs are becoming the norm during the holidays?
We're right on track in terms of completion percent of total target at 15%
I dusted off the old "Point-o-Projector" algorithm to estimate this years output. After making the appropriate calculations and sacrificing the neighbor's cat to the math gods, I've come up with a projected point total of just under 73K, which would be an all time high. Don't scoff at my numerical alchemy - the projection at this point last year ended up having an error term of only 6%, which is pretty darn good considering the limited data and the fact that I'm an idiot.
In terms of the scale of choice, 28mm retains it's dominate position accounting for 84% of the points submitted to date.
The only other statistical point of order is to point out that what was thought once to be an unbeatable record, RayR's total points of 4,940 from Challenge II, may come under attack from the blistering pace that AlexS has be putting in. Will the hallowed Halls of Vallejohalla witness the crowning of a new painting champion?- only time will tell....
For the record, the following is a list of the top ten painting scores and cumulative painting totals over the past 6 Challenges.
|Highest Individual Scores||Rank||Challenge||Name||Score|
|The Top 10|
|Cumulative Challenge Points (over the past 6 Challenges)|
|% total pts.||35%|
Will we have any new members in the exclusive 10,000 club?
Well that's it for the week 2 statistical update - Lets see what the next two weeks bring us. There are unconfirmed rumors that the next stats post will have a motivational speaker portion.