AHPC XI: Month 1 Stats Update

 

Bang the drums, ring the bells and kick the cats, it's stats time BABY!!!!!!

We all know the real reason we participate in this 3 months of madness, called the painting challenge.  

Is to celebrate our hobby? - NO WAY!  

Is it to enjoy the camaraderie of people with similar interests from around the world?  AS IF!

Is it to grovel at the feet of our self appointed Lord and Master, Snow Lord Curt?  Well maybe....

But the REAL REASON is to bask in the glory of math-a-magical statistics.  As Pooh states in the erudite meme, the best stats are homeroll rolled stats and I've got kilo's of them for you.

Gather round and be edumacated on some numbers-stuff.  Presented below is a summary table comparing the first month of XI vs the first month of X

AHPC XI Stats Summary:
	Through 4 weeks
	XI	X
Total Points	26,386	20,155
% of Target	39.15%	31.34%
Participants	84	67
# of Submissions	476	295
# of Chamber / Island Submissions	279	150
Participation Rate	94%	92%
AVg Submissions per Participant	6	4
Avg Pts per Submitter	314	301
Avg Pts per Submission	55	68
Figures Painted
28MM
Inf	2,172	1,324
Cav / Art	268	135
Vehicles	27	42
15MM
Inf	762	391
Cav / Art	97	134
Vehicles	21	24
6MM
Inf	1,476	786
Cav / Art	373	108
Vehicles	1	88
Terrain "Cubes"	29	28.25
Points Distriution
28mm	53%	44%
15mm	8%	7%
6mm	4%	3%
Terrain	2%	3%
Chamber / Island Bonus Pts	22%	23%
Other	11%	20%
Total	100%	100%
Projected Points	91,031	79,428

Through the first month of Challenge XI, we've wracked up 26, 386 points from 84 participants.  That's very impressive and compares most favorably to the 20,155 points form 67 participants.

Maybe the most impressive story of this years challenge is the frenzied pace of submissions as we all sent in a total of 476 unique submissions vs 295 from last year.  Now I hear some of you whinging right now there are more participants this so that why.  Let's look at some unit level stats to prove how misguided you are in the belief.

Points per participant is pretty constant at 314 vs 301 but the number of average submissions is 50% higher at 6 in XI vs 4 in X.  I suspect the key driver is a combination of the Chambers of Challenge  and the decision to unshackle all of you and let you post freely.  I, for one, was against the unshackling as I think you all should be in chains but that's probably not a topic to discuss here.

I think it's safe to say the Chambers of Challenge is a smashing success as there have been 279 chambers related submissions vs 150 foc the Island theme event last year.

So what are we painting?  A lot of 28mm figures.  In fact 28mm, as a scale, has increased its share of points rather dramatically fro 44% in Challenge X to a whopping 53% for XI

Point-O-Projector

So now its time in the update to wheel out our trusty Point-O-Projector and feed in all sorts of information and a few kittens and puppies.  After a few turns of the crack out pops the projection of 91,031 points for Challenge XI.  That's a suspiciously precise number so it must be correct.  Remember you can trust everything I say here because I'm a financial services professional.

Our blistering points pace continues since the close of Jan 20th - we've already added another 5,374 points over 5 days and stand at 31,760 as I write up this post.

So that concludes this months statistical update.  I realize that I've dropped a lot of information on you and most of you are a bit dazed and confused.  Please don't operate any heavy machinery in this math-a-magically induce euphoria.  Most medical professionals recommend you just sit back, eat some cheetos and let the beauty of statistical analysis wash over you.

Final Note:

Those of you with keen eyes and matching intelects may be wondering why the number of Challenge XI participants stands at 84.  You are likely asking "didn't we start this thing out with 89?

We did, indeed, have 89 but the unfortunate fact is that the culling has occurred and our ranks have dwindled down to 84 stout and hale pigment warriors.  Usually I make fun of those culled (in a light hearted way) but not this year.   These are difficult times for all of us and I'll end this missive with a fare-the-well for the 5 individuals who couldn't participate this year and a sincere hope they can re-join us for Challenge XII when we all can speak of the Pandemic in the past tense.