Week 8 Statistical Update - The Tropical Doldrums

The Challenge is passing the 2/3'rds mark and entering what future scholars will refer to as it's "tropical doldrums" where the participants, perhaps addled by paint fumes and warm tropical breezes slow in productivity and spend their time gazing at navels whilst contemplating future projects and  imbibing on fruity drinks with deceptively high alcohol contents.

I thought I'd set the mood for this post with an image from my recent offsite at the Turks where Orchids grow from trees and hard working investment partners must endure 6 hours of meetings spread out over 4 days.  Why is this relevant? because due to combined machinations of the FAA and British Airways, I was - yet again - forbidden to bring paints, minis and x-acto knifes aboard their aircraft.  Rather than dutifully painting away to further the greatness of Curt "The  Minion Master", I was forced to endure hours of lounging by the pool or fishing on the beach for snapper with a  mandatory local brew forced into my hand.  Even more troubling is that fact I was compelled to do these activities in the warm sun and delightful temperatures of 76F rather than the more natural damp and artificially lighted environs of my basement.  Difficult days indeed.

But do not fear dear reader, for my statistical duties were not neglected during this interlude of tropical internment.  I was able to prepare for you another exciting, scintillating and (dare I say) provocative Week 8 Statistical update, or as it will be known in future historical texts "The Ocho".  You're Welcome!

Productivity declined a bit during weeks 7 and 8 with a Challenge low of only 119 submissions and no change in the number of individual participating (67 out 88 registrants).  We may have to send out rescue teams to check on the those forlorn 21 individuals who have yet to submit.

The average submission size have held essentially steady at 83 points per submission.  For those stalwart souls who have submitted at least one entry the average score to date has "SURGED!" to 594 points and these paragons of painting virtue have completed 66% of the goals for the challenge so things are right on track.  (Of course the author realizes that the term "paragon of painting virtue" can not be applied to participant #54 as he is a complete cad)

In terms of projected points - we've dropped the total projected points to 65,419 from last updates 70,624 - one of the biggest drivers in significantly dropping the level of points estimated to come in from the "Forlorn 21".  Still the points projections have been hovering between 60-70K in all projections and I feel pretty confident that's where we'll end up.

So without further ado, here it is glistening in the sun like a bloated beached whale in all it's olfactory offensiveness - the week 8 Statistical table.  Gaze upon it and become a better person due to the awesome power of statistics.  Please, no tipping the statistical provider as the crass introduction of commercial tribute soils the purity of the mathematical process.  No I do this solely for your adulation.

KPI's:
Weeks Completed		2	4	6	8
Weeks Remaining		11	9	7	5
Participants w/ a Submission		41	61	67	67
Total Submissions		98	231	359	478
Total Points		6,392	18,328	30,252	39,812
Participation Rate		47%	69%	76%	76%
Average per Submitter		156	300	452	594
Avg per Submission		65	79	84	83
Submitter % of Target Completed		16%	34%	51%	66%
Projected Points
Submitters		38,352	54,984	60,504	60,889
Remaining Bouns Rounds		12,300	10,250	7,750	3,750
Non Submitters @ 25% / wk8@10%		10,075	4,056	2,370	780
Projected Total Points		60,727	69,290	70,624	65,419
Figures Painted
28MM
Inf		927	2,042	2,983	3,657
Cav / Art		34	140	326	386
Vehicles		19	40	67	74
15MM
Inf		14	239	568	867
Cav / Art		3	25	106	193
Vehicles		20	28	62	100
6MM
Inf		208	1,153	1,372	1,932
Cav / Art		106	180	234	315
Vehicles		97	133	136	191
Score Distribution
28MM		82%	67%	63%	58%
15MM		3%	4%	6%	8%
6MM		6%	6%	4%	4%
Bonus Round "Bonus Points"		0%	11%	11%	11%
Other Scales		9%	13%	16%	19%
Total		100%	100%	100%	100%